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By Max Meyer

We’re nearly two-thirds of the way through the NFL season, and it seems we have more questions than answers at this point. 

There isn’t a clear-cut Super Bowl favorite, with nine teams currently possessing odds of 15/1 or lower. The NFL MVP race is even more muddied, as nine different players reside at 13/1 or lower. There’s even a running back who underwent the biggest single odds shift this past weekend and has vaulted to 20/1. 

“This is definitely one of the more wide-open MVP battles in a while,” said Adam Pullen, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook. “I think it’ll continue to be that way because no team can separate themselves. If you have a team that’s a runaway in terms of wins, that quarterback will likely be the favorite. But we don’t really have that this season.”

Tom Brady is back as the NFL MVP favorite for the second time this season, this time at +275. Brady first was atop the board at Caesars Sportsbook following Week 9’s action, when he shifted from +550 to +350 despite having a bye. The Buccaneers veteran signal-caller was back up to +400 heading into this past weekend, which only trailed Josh Allen at +250.

Allen now has the second-lowest odds at +600, with reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers (+800) and Dak Prescott (+850) close behind. Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes and Matthew Stafford are tied for the fifth-lowest odds at +900. 

“Stafford’s our biggest liability by a decent amount,” Pullen said. “The Rams haven’t looked good in their past couple games, but seven games left is still an eternity for how these markets move. The markets move just off of one performance, so when you that many more games to prove your case, you can’t sell Stafford’s chances short. Especially when we have liability on him, we’re not going to bump his odds up too crazy after a couple subpar performances.”

Justin Herbert is next at 12/1, while Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray each are at 13/1. Then the first running back appears, as Jonathan Taylor is now listed at 20/1. The Colts bruiser was as high as 500/1 during the season and was all the way up at 150/1 heading into this past weekend before his five-touchdown effort in a victory over the Bills. One New Jersey bettor placed $125 on Taylor back when he was at 500/1 for potential winnings of $62,500.

“It’s difficult for running backs to win the award,” Pullen said. “But what Taylor has done, you can’t argue with his performance. If the Colts go as Taylor keeps producing, his odds are going to continue to lower. They can attribute a lot of their success to him. He has a big game coming up against Tampa, there will be a lot of hype in that game and can cement himself as a contender for the award with another great performance.”

If you thought it was tight for odds among the top contenders for MVP, the betting action for this market has been even more so. By total dollars wagered, Allen leads the way at 12% with Murray following at 11%. Then Brady, Mahomes and Stafford have all collected 10% apiece in this category. 

The biggest wagers placed on any of the leader names were $12,100 on Mahomes at +550 for potential winnings of $66,550 and $10,000 on Allen at 13/1 for potential winnings of $130,000. One Nevada bettor nabbed the Chiefs gunslinger at his longest odds, putting down $1,000 on Mahomes 75/1 for potential winnings of $75,000.

For total number of tickets, there’s more of a gap between the top three bet-getters and the rest. Stafford is tops at 11%, with Allen (10%) and Murray (9%) also in range. Five other quarterbacks have drawn at least 5% here—Brady (7%), Prescott (6%), Jackson (6%), Herbert (6%) and Mahomes (5%). 

The one quarterback near the top of the board whose action pales in comparison to the others is Rodgers. The Packers superstar has racked up just 2% for each of total number of tickets and total dollars wagered, and ranks 13th and 12th in the respective categories. 

Check out Caesars Sportsbook’s latest trends for NFL MVP futures below. 