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By Max Meyer

We’ve hit double digits on the NFL season, as Week 10 is upon is. Caesars Sportsbook has all 14 contests up, and some of these showdowns have already seen noticeable odds shifts from their Sunday openers. 

One spread has already swung by 2.5 points in a game where two superstar quarterbacks look to return to the field after being missing in action. A total can also make the same claim, increasing by 2.5 points despite one of the teams putting up their worst offensive performance of the season last week.

The last time the Seahawks and Packers faced off was the NFC Divisional Round back in Jan. 2020. Now each team hopes to get their signal-callers back for this meeting, with Aaron Rodgers out last week due to testing positive for COVID-19 and Russell Wilson missing the past three games with a fractured finger.

The Packers were listed as 5.5-point home favorites on Sunday night, however since then that number has dropped. Green Bay is now -3, and even with the 2.5-point alteration on the spread, the total has remained at 49.5.

“Rodgers would be worth more points than Wilson if somebody is playing or not playing,” said Craig Mucklow, Vice President of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook. “That line shift is a combination of Rodgers can’t join the team until Saturday at the earliest, Wilson isn’t confirmed but looks like he’s going to play and we took a $100,000 moneyline bet on the Seahawks at the start of the week. It’s a combination of those three factors that have moved the line. Now if Rodgers does get two negative tests and comes back on Saturday, that line will move back up because we still don’t know the impact of Wilson’s injury.”

The only other spread that has changed by at least a point from its Sunday night opener at Caesars Sportsbook is Browns at Patriots. This is another affair where the line has moved in the direction of the road team, with Cleveland going from +2.5 to +1.5.

For totals, three of them have shifted by over a point so far this week, with Falcons at Cowboys leading the way after jumping up by 2.5 points. This NFC tussle was first released on Sunday night with a total of 52, which was tied for the highest on the board at Caesars Sportsbook with Vikings at Chargers. Now it stands alone at 54.5, while Vikings at Chargers has also crept up to 53.

“The Falcons can score and they’ve been in some high-scoring games recently,” Mucklow said. “In their last five games, they’ve scored 30, 27, 30, 13 and 27. They can put points up. I think [Matt] Ryan has been getting more comfortable throughout the season with his new offensive weapons. If you’re expecting Atlanta to score in the mid or high twenties and Dallas to win by double digits, you can see why the over has been popular.” 

The two other biggest total swings, though, have both dropped and are now the lowest totals of the week. Lions at Steelers opened as the lowest Week 10 total at 44, and has fallen further to 42.5. There were four totals lower than the original number of 45.5 between the Panthers and Cardinals. Now just Lions at Steelers has it beat, as Panthers at Cardinals has plunged from 45.5 to 44. 

Check out the biggest NFL Week 10 spread and total shifts as of now at Caesars Sportsbook below. 