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By Max Meyer

Just one contest on the NFL Week 11 slate features a battle between teams among those with the 10 lowest Super Bowl odds at Caesars Sportsbook. All eyes will be on Cowboys at Chiefs, and this massive showdown has already garnered major attention in terms of odds shifts. In fact, it’s the only Week 11 game where both the spread and total have moved by over a point.

The Chiefs were a slight 1-point favorite at home over the Cowboys on Sunday night at Caesars Sportsbook, with the total the highest on the board at 54. Since then, Kansas City has shot up to -2.5 while the total has increased to 56. 

“All it takes is one game for things to change, and the Chiefs put in a good performance in prime-time last week,” said Adam Pullen, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook. “As we’ve seen this season, it doesn’t take much to change public perception. One week you’re a Super Bowl contender and the next the sky is falling. But this is a big test for the Chiefs, this is the game everyone will be focusing on. It wouldn’t surprise me if we closed it at Chiefs -3 or if the total gets even higher.”

Just one spread and one total for Week 11 have changed by more from the Sunday opener than Cowboys at Chiefs. 

The Chargers are half a game behind the Chiefs in the AFC West standings, and were originally at -3.5 against the Steelers. Pittsburgh starting quarterback Ben Roethlisberger missed last game after being placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list, and star safety Minkah Fitzpatrick was put on there Monday. Now Los Angeles is up to 5.5-point home chalk.

“It’s looking like [Mason] Rudolph will be the guy as of now, but it’ll go back and forth if it’s announced that Big Ben will play,” Pullen said. “We might not know who will start until the day before the game if Ben gets those negative tests, so there will probably be more movement. As much as Ben’s skills have diminished, he’s still better than Rudolph. I’d say it’s about a 3-point difference between the two for value to the spread.”

Two other clashes have experienced a 1.5-point spread shift, as the line has moved in opposite directions for a pair of road favorites. The Patriots and Falcons kick things off on Thursday night, with New England springing from -5.5 to -7 in Atlanta. The Ravens were first shown at -6 over the Bears, however Chicago has been a popular home underdog thus far in the market. Baltimore is currently down to -4.5.

Meanwhile, a total in a clash between NFC West teams has cratered by 2.5 points. Cardinals at Seahawks were tied for the second-highest opening total of Week 11 at 50.5 along with Giants at Buccaneers. With health questions surrounding each squad’s exceptional quarterback, it has plummeted to 48. 

“It’s just a question of how [Russell] Wilson’s finger is,” Pullen said. “Judging by last week, he didn’t look too good, which is not surprising from a guy coming off a finger injury that affects his throwing. Then with Kyler, how healthy would he be if he ends up playing? With both of those quarterbacks fully healthy, then a total in the 50s is fair. It’ll take a brave person to bet over on the current number after what we saw last week.”

Check out the biggest spread and total shifts for NFL Week 11 at Caesars Sportsbook below. 