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By Max Meyer

Even in mid-November, 23 of the 32 NFL teams are either currently in the postseason field or a game or less out of the final playoff spot. Needless to say, the Week 11 slate is filled with opportunity for teams to further establish their push for the Lombardi Trophy.

There is one contest where both teams squaring off are among those with the 10 lowest Super Bowl odds at Caesars Sportsbook. The Cowboys (tied for fifth-lowest SB odds at 10/1) head to Kansas City for a potential shootout with the Chiefs (tied for seventh-lowest SB odds at 11/1).

The Chiefs are favored by 2.5 points at home after opening as just a 1-point favorite over the Cowboys. This clash also features the highest Week 11 total at 56.5, as it is 6 points higher than the second-biggest one (50.5 for Bengals at Raiders).

There has been division so far among Caesars Sportsbook bettors about which high-powered attack will cover the number at Arrowhead Stadium. The Cowboys have grabbed 54% of the total number of tickets among all spread bets, yet it’s the Chiefs who have wound up with 76% of the total dollars wagered.

“Even with the Chiefs struggling, you look and see less than a field goal, that can be very tempting for some people,” said Adam Pullen, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook. “I think they’re getting the majority of the money because of the perceived value of them laying such a low number at home. I wouldn’t doubt it if this game ended up having the highest handle of the week, even over the prime-time games.” 

That is one of six NFL Week 11 matchups where the majority of the tickets and the majority of the dollars have come in on opposite sides of the spread.

The biggest discrepancy between the two categories for any showdown is Ravens at Bears. Baltimore is a 6-point road favorite, and landed 76% of the total number of tickets among all spread wagers in this one. Chicago, though, has accumulated 87% of the total dollars wagered, the highest percentage in either category for any Week 11 underdog.

Speaking of underdogs, there are three of them catching double-digit points this week—Lions (+12) at Browns, Texans (+10) at Titans and Giants (+11) at Buccaneers on Monday night. All three of those teams have received the majority of the total number of tickets on their respective spreads, while the Giants (87%) and Texans (65%) have also collected the majority of the total dollars wagered. 

“People react to what they’ve seen lately, and they’ve noticed that a lot of big underdogs have been covering and even winning outright recently,” Pullen said. “It’s a more educated betting public than it used to be, and those teams that people usually don’t like to bet as big underdogs are now being hyped up by sports betting shows and social media. We’re always going to need one of those big underdogs to win outright to kill moneyline parlays and teasers. If we get one of those it's really nice, two or more and it’s a really big bonus.”

One underdog that may end up in a different position come kickoff is the Vikings. Minnesota opened at +2.5 at home to NFC North rival Packers, and that line has tumbled down to +1. Green Bay has seized 80% of the total number of tickets among all spread bets, but just 57% of the total dollars wagered.

“The Vikings seem to be getting a lot of sharp money every week,” Pullen said. “They’re definitely well-respected by them. The Packers are still laying less than a field goal and [Aaron] Rodgers is back, so it’s probably going to be one of those public vs. the sharps games. The Vikings could end up as the favorite. It’s never surprising to see sides flip when the game is close, that’s precisely why the line is that way in the first place.” 

Check out Caesars Sportsbook’s latest odds and trends for every upcoming NFL Week 11 spread below. 