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By Max Meyer

Unders went 9-5 in Week 10, which boosted their overall season record to 82-66-2 (55.4%) at Caesars Sportsbook. 

Many Caesars Sportsbook bettors think unders will continue their strong start this NFL campaign in the 14 Week 11 Sunday and Monday games. That side of the total is getting the majority of the tickets in eight of those contests, and also nabbing the majority of the total dollars wagered in nine of them.

“I think the public has started to side with unders a little bit,” said Adam Pullen, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook. “In previous years the totals were getting a lot higher, and now it looks like things are correcting themselves. So people will adjust to what they see. Usually the public bets overs, but if they see that the majority of games are going under consistently, they’ll start to think about why they’re betting overs.”

Six unders have received at least 90% of the total dollars wagered, highlighted by two collecting a whopping 99%—Lions at Browns (43.5) and Packers at Vikings (47.5). 

These two Week 11 totals are also among the four that have shifted by multiple points from their openers. Lions at Browns was originally at 45.5 and Packers at Vikings was first set at 49.5, joining Cardinals at Seahawks (50.5 to 48) and Cowboys at Chiefs (54 to 56) as the biggest movers this week at Caesars Sportsbook. Lions at Browns is also the most lopsided under by total number of tickets at 77%. Meanwhile, the under for Packers at Vikings has also racked up 62% of the total number of tickets. 

“The Packers defense has been on a roll lately,” Pullen said. “They shut out the Seahawks last week, held the Chiefs to a low number the week before. The Vikings have a lot of weapons on offense, but Green Bay has just looked so good defensively. I think that’s why this under has been popular. When you have a high total near 50, that’s a pretty big total for what’s looked like one of the top defenses in the league.”

On the other hand, two overs have gotten at least 80% of the total number of tickets and 90% of the total dollars wagered. Interestingly, one of them is the highest total on the board and the other is tied for the lowest.

Saints at Eagles joins Washington at Carolina for the lowest Week 11 total currently at 43, yet Caesars Sportsbook bettors are expecting more points than that in Philadelphia. That over leads the way with 97% of the total dollars wagered and has also drawn 83% of the total number of tickets.

Then in Kansas City, the over for Cowboys at Chiefs ranks first with 86% of the total number of tickets and also has the advantage with 90% of the total dollars wagered. That showdown has also been the most popularly bet total of any Week 11 head-to-head on Sunday or Monday, with that total bringing in nearly 50% more tickets than any of the others. 

“It doesn’t hurt that both of these teams scored over 40 points last week,” Pullen said. “Whenever you get two marquee teams especially with great offenses, it’s not a surprise that you’re going to get a lot of people betting the over even with the total this high. I think the sharps are going to wait before betting this under, you could see this total jump a bit higher before they come in.”  

Check out Caesars Sportsbook’s latest odds and trends for NFL Week 11 totals for every Sunday and Monday game below. 