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By Max Meyer

It was another winning slate for NFL unders, as they went 8-7 in Week 8 to move to 66-54-2 on the season. 

Many Caesars Sportsbook bettors are expecting unders to come through once again in Week 9, with unders getting the majority of the total dollars wagered in 10 of the 13 upcoming Sunday and Monday games. That includes three games in which one team is adjusting to life for the first time this season without a specific key offensive player.

Let’s begin, though, with the total that has experienced the biggest odds shift so far this week. Packers at Chiefs opened at 55 this past Sunday night, however it has gone all the way down to 48 following the news that Aaron Rodgers tested positive for COVID-19. The 7-point swing is the only total movement of at least three points so far this week at Caesars Sportsbook.

“It tells you what Rodgers is worth, doesn’t it,” said Craig Mucklow, Vice President of Trading for Caesars Sportsbook. “The market is telling you he’s worth about 8 points because of the spread movement, but it’s there for the total as well. But for all the defenses for [Jordan] Love to face, the Chiefs are high up there. I also don’t think people trust the Chiefs offense anymore, the turnovers have been such a problem. Obviously when you’re turning the ball over, you’re killing time on drives and you’re not scoring points. This total will probably get lower closer to kick.” 

Even with Love under center for Green Bay, this Week 9 total has been the most popular as of now by total number of tickets. The under has nabbed 61% of the total number of tickets and 73% of the total dollars wagered.

Only two other Week 9 totals have moved by multiple points, and they both decreased as well. Patriots at Panthers dropped from 43.5 to 41, while Falcons at Saints plunged to 42 from 44. 

There has not been more lopsided betting action on an under than Falcons at Saints. With questions at quarterback for New Orleans with Jameis Winston (torn ACL) out for the season, that under has generated 76% of the total number of tickets and 97% of the total dollars wagered.

Falcons at Saints is one of four unders to be drawing at least 90% of the total dollars wagered, along with Chargers at Eagles (50) at 96%, Bills at Jaguars (48.5) at 93% and Patriots at Panthers (41) at 91%. That is highlighted by a Nevada bettor laying $33,000 on Chargers at Eagles under 50 (-110) for potential winnings of $30,000, which is the biggest wager on any NFL Week 9 Sunday or Monday total at Caesars Sportsbook. 

“We respect the bet because of its size, but we didn’t feel it was enough to move it off 50,” Mucklow said. “There’s a good chance of rain in that game, so I can understand why the under bet came. Fifty is a big total for the Eagles, their offense hasn’t been that great early on in games and then they go off in garbage time.”

The under just shy of 90% of the total dollars wagered is Titans at Rams (53.5) at 89%, while it has also racked up 69% of the total number of tickets. Its current standing of 53.5 is where it resided on Sunday night, before it was announced that Derrick Henry would undergo foot surgery and miss significant time.

“The Titans are going to throw the ball more now because they don’t have their stud in the backfield,” Mucklow said. “If you got Henry, you’re controlling the clock and trying to slow the game down. I’d think the Titans are more of an over team without Henry than with him just because their average time of possession is likely going to be different. I’m expecting to see some more money on this over eventually.”

Check out Caesars Sportsbook’s latest odds and trends for every Sunday and Monday NFL Week 9 total below. 